I was able to find a web site that shows the projected fold area. However, I am disappointed that no explanation wa given for the map they posted.
The officials say they made a decision based or consultation with others, but there are no diagrams or exact lists of what areas they say will be affected. So they just told everybody to get out of town.
One would think that it would be better to not have an evacuation if you do not provide the exact and reliable information people need. It is hard to believe that no computer simulation was done. Lessor reservoirs have had computer simulations relevant to flooding in California and Nevada . The was about ten years ago when Reno was flooded by water from the mountains of California.
I apologize for making this soundalike criticisms of the local officials. In other areas of Northern California computer flood simulations are often used to help locals manage flood control. So one would wonder if the Oroville decision was based on a real analytical study including computer projections.
The state of emergency still exists.
No homes have been flooded. The river is a its normal level. Some experts outside of the government are saying that no no wide-spread folding will come. Some news reports are starting to pick up on this. Meanwhile, it is said that about 100,000 people have left their homes.
It would seem the officials have not used computers to analyse the issue. The artwork on local TV stations only show animations of what has happened. That would suggest they do not have any real projections made by computer simulation. IMO, the proper use of computers could help the officials make better decisions.
Put another way, any high-school mah teacher sound tell yu not to put 100,000 people onto 100 miles of narrow highway unless you had a real danger.
A recent photo: